Power and
Weakness
By Robert Kagan
t is time
to stop pretending that Europeans and Americans share a common
view of the world, or even that they occupy the same world. On
the all-important question of power — the efficacy of power,
the morality of power, the desirability of power — American
and European perspectives are diverging. Europe is turning
away from power, or to put it a little differently, it is
moving beyond power into a self-contained world of laws and
rules and transnational negotiation and cooperation. It is
entering a post-historical paradise of peace and relative
prosperity, the realization of Kant’s “Perpetual Peace.” The
United States, meanwhile, remains mired in history, exercising
power in the anarchic Hobbesian world where international laws
and rules are unreliable and where true security and the
defense and promotion of a liberal order still depend on the
possession and use of military might. That is why on major
strategic and international questions today, Americans are
from Mars and Europeans are from Venus: They agree on little
and understand one another less and less. And this state of
affairs is not transitory — the product of one American
election or one catastrophic event. The reasons for the
transatlantic divide are deep, long in development, and likely
to endure. When it comes to setting national priorities,
determining threats, defining challenges, and fashioning and
implementing foreign and defense policies, the United States
and Europe have parted ways.
It is easier to see the contrast as an American living in
Europe. Europeans are more conscious of the growing
differences, perhaps because they fear them more. European
intellectuals are nearly unanimous in the conviction that
Americans and Europeans no longer share a common “strategic
culture.” The European caricature at its most extreme depicts
an America dominated by a “culture of death,” its warlike
temperament the natural product of a violent society where
every man has a gun and the death penalty reigns. But even
those who do not make this crude link agree there are profound
differences in the way the United States and Europe conduct
foreign policy.
The United States, they argue, resorts to force more
quickly and, compared with Europe, is less patient with
diplomacy. Americans generally see the world divided between
good and evil, between friends and enemies, while Europeans
see a more complex picture. When confronting real or potential
adversaries, Americans generally favor policies of coercion
rather than persuasion, emphasizing punitive sanctions over
inducements to better behavior, the stick over the carrot.
Americans tend to seek finality in international affairs: They
want problems solved, threats eliminated. And, of course,
Americans increasingly tend toward unilateralism in
international affairs. They are less inclined to act through
international institutions such as the United Nations, less
inclined to work cooperatively with other nations to pursue
common goals, more skeptical about international law, and more
willing to operate outside its strictures when they deem it
necessary, or even merely useful.1
Europeans insist they approach problems with greater nuance
and sophistication. They try to influence others through
subtlety and indirection. They are more tolerant of failure,
more patient when solutions don’t come quickly. They generally
favor peaceful responses to problems, preferring negotiation,
diplomacy, and persuasion to coercion. They are quicker to
appeal to international law, international conventions, and
international opinion to adjudicate disputes. They try to use
commercial and economic ties to bind nations together. They
often emphasize process over result, believing that ultimately
process can become substance.
This European dual portrait is a caricature, of course,
with its share of exaggerations and oversimplifications. One
cannot generalize about Europeans: Britons may have a more
“American” view of power than many of their fellow Europeans
on the continent. And there are differing perspectives within
nations on both sides of the Atlantic. In the U.S., Democrats
often seem more “European” than Republicans; Secretary of
State Colin Powell may appear more “European” than Secretary
of Defense Donald Rumsfeld. Many Americans, especially among
the intellectual elite, are as uncomfortable with the “hard”
quality of American foreign policy as any European; and some
Europeans value power as much as any American.
Nevertheless, the caricatures do capture an essential
truth: The United States and Europe are fundamentally
different today. Powell and Rumsfeld have more in common than
do Powell and Hubert Védrine or even Jack Straw. When it comes
to the use of force, mainstream American Democrats have more
in common with Republicans than they do with most European
Socialists and Social Democrats. During the 1990s even American liberals were more
willing to resort to force and were more Manichean in their
perception of the world than most of their European
counterparts. The Clinton administration bombed Iraq, as well
as Afghanistan and Sudan. European governments, it is safe to
say, would not have done so. Whether they would have bombed
even Belgrade in 1999, had the U.S.
not forced their hand, is an interesting question.2
What is the source of these differing strategic
perspectives? The question has received too little attention
in recent years, either because foreign policy intellectuals
and policymakers on both sides of the Atlantic have denied the
existence of a genuine difference or because those who have
pointed to the difference, especially in Europe, have been
more interested in assailing the United States than in
understanding why the United States acts as it does —or, for
that matter, why Europe acts as it does. It is past time to
move beyond the denial and the insults and to face the problem
head-on.
Despite what many Europeans and some Americans believe,
these differences in strategic culture do not spring naturally
from the national characters of Americans and Europeans. After
all, what Europeans now consider their more peaceful strategic
culture is, historically speaking, quite new. It represents an
evolution away from the very different strategic culture that
dominated Europe for hundreds of years and at least until
World War I. The European governments — and peoples — who
enthusiastically launched themselves into that continental war
believed in machtpolitik. While the roots of the
present European worldview, like the roots of the European
Union itself, can be traced back to the Enlightenment,
Europe’s great-power politics for the past 300 years did not follow the visionary
designs of the philosophes and the physiocrats.
As for the United States, there is nothing timeless about
the present heavy reliance on force as a tool of international
relations, nor about the tilt toward unilateralism and away
from a devotion to international law. Americans are children
of the Enlightenment, too, and in the early years of the
republic were more faithful apostles of its creed. America’s
eighteenth- and early nineteenth-century statesmen sounded
much like the European statesmen of today, extolling the
virtues of commerce as the soothing balm of international
strife and appealing to international law and international
opinion over brute force. The young United States wielded
power against weaker peoples on the North American continent,
but when it came to dealing with the European giants, it
claimed to abjure power and assailed as atavistic the power
politics of the eighteenth- and nineteenth-century European
empires.
Two centuries later, Americans and Europeans have traded
places — and perspectives. Partly this is because in those
200 years, but especially in recent
decades, the power equation has shifted dramatically: When the
United States was weak, it practiced the strategies of
indirection, the strategies of weakness; now that the United
States is powerful, it behaves as powerful nations do. When
the European great powers were strong, they believed in
strength and martial glory. Now, they see the world through
the eyes of weaker powers. These very different points of
view, weak versus strong, have naturally produced differing
strategic judgments, differing assessments of threats and of
the proper means of addressing threats, and even differing
calculations of interest.
But this is only part of the answer. For along with these
natural consequences of the transatlantic power gap, there has
also opened a broad ideological gap. Europe, because of its
unique historical experience of the past half-century —
culminating in the past decade with the creation of the
European Union — has developed a set of ideals and principles
regarding the utility and morality of power different from the
ideals and principles of Americans, who have not shared that
experience. If the strategic chasm between the United States
and Europe appears greater than ever today, and grows still
wider at a worrying pace, it is because these material and
ideological differences reinforce one another. The divisive
trend they together produce may be impossible to reverse.
The power gap: perception and
reality
urope has
been militarily weak for a long time, but until fairly
recently its weakness had been obscured. World War II all but
destroyed European nations as global powers, and their postwar
inability to project sufficient force overseas to maintain
colonial empires in Asia, Africa, and the Middle East forced
them to retreat on a massive scale after more than five
centuries of imperial dominance — perhaps the most significant
retrenchment of global influence in human history. For a
half-century after World War II, however, this weakness was
masked by the unique geopolitical circumstances of the Cold
War. Dwarfed by the two superpowers on its flanks, a weakened
Europe nevertheless served as the central strategic theater of
the worldwide struggle between communism and democratic
capitalism. Its sole but vital strategic mission was to defend
its own territory against any Soviet offensive, at least until
the Americans arrived. Although shorn of most traditional
measures of great-power status, Europe remained the
geopolitical pivot, and this, along with lingering habits of
world leadership, allowed Europeans to retain international
influence well beyond what their sheer military capabilities
might have afforded.
Europe lost this strategic centrality after the Cold War
ended, but it took a few more years for the lingering mirage
of European global power to fade. During the 1990s, war in the Balkans kept both
Europeans and Americans focused on the strategic importance of
the continent and on the continuing relevance of nato. The enlargement of nato to include former Warsaw Pact nations
and the consolidation of the Cold War victory kept Europe in
the forefront of the strategic discussion.
Then there was the early promise of the “new Europe.” By
bonding together into a single political and economic unit —
the historic accomplishment of the Maastricht treaty in 1992 — many hoped to recapture Europe’s old
greatness but in a new political form. “Europe” would be the
next superpower, not only economically and politically, but
also militarily. It would handle crises on the European
continent, such as the ethnic conflicts in the Balkans, and it
would re-emerge as a global player. In the 1990s Europeans could confidently assert
that the power of a unified Europe would restore, finally, the
global “multipolarity” that had been destroyed by the Cold War
and its aftermath. And most Americans, with mixed emotions,
agreed that superpower Europe was the future. Harvard
University’s Samuel P. Huntington predicted that the
coalescing of the European Union would be “the single most
important move” in a worldwide reaction against American
hegemony and would produce a “truly multipolar” twenty-first
century.3
But European pretensions and American apprehensions proved
unfounded. The 1990s witnessed not the
rise of a European superpower but the decline of Europe into
relative weakness. The Balkan conflict at the beginning of the
decade revealed European military incapacity and political
disarray; the Kosovo conflict at decade’s end exposed a
transatlantic gap in military technology and the ability to
wage modern warfare that would only widen in subsequent years.
Outside of Europe, the disparity by the close of the 1990s was even more starkly apparent as it
became clear that the ability of European powers, individually
or collectively, to project decisive force into regions of
conflict beyond the continent was negligible. Europeans could
provide peacekeeping forces in the Balkans — indeed, they
could and eventually did provide the vast bulk of those forces
in Bosnia and Kosovo. But they lacked the wherewithal to
introduce and sustain a fighting force in potentially hostile
territory, even in Europe. Under the best of circumstances,
the European role was limited to filling out peacekeeping
forces after the United States had, largely on its own,
carried out the decisive phases of a military mission and
stabilized the situation. As some Europeans put it, the real
division of labor consisted of the United States “making the
dinner” and the Europeans “doing the dishes.”
This inadequacy should have come as no surprise, since
these were the limitations that had forced Europe to retract
its global influence in the first place. Those Americans and
Europeans who proposed that Europe expand its strategic role
beyond the continent set an unreasonable goal. During the Cold
War, Europe’s strategic role had been to defend itself. It was
unrealistic to expect a return to international great-power
status, unless European peoples were willing to shift
significant resources from social programs to military
programs.
Clearly they were not. Not only were Europeans unwilling to
pay to project force beyond Europe. After the Cold War, they
would not pay for sufficient force to conduct even minor
military actions on the continent without American help. Nor
did it seem to matter whether European publics were being
asked to spend money to strengthen nato or an independent European foreign and
defense policy. Their answer was the same. Rather than viewing
the collapse of the Soviet Union as an opportunity to flex
global muscles, Europeans took it as an opportunity to cash in
on a sizable peace dividend. Average European defense budgets
gradually fell below 2 percent of
gdp. Despite talk of establishing
Europe as a global superpower, therefore, European military
capabilities steadily fell behind those of the United States
throughout the 1990s.
The end of the Cold War had a very different effect on the
other side of the Atlantic. For although Americans looked for
a peace dividend, too, and defense budgets declined or
remained flat during most of the 1990s, defense spending still remained above
3 percent of gdp. Fast on the heels of the Soviet
empire’s demise came Iraq’s invasion of Kuwait and the largest
American military action in a quarter-century. Thereafter
American administrations cut the Cold War force, but not as
dramatically as might have been expected. By historical
standards, America’s military power and particularly its
ability to project that power to all corners of the globe
remained unprecedented.
Meanwhile, the very fact of the Soviet empire’s collapse
vastly increased America’s strength relative to the rest of
the world. The sizable American military arsenal, once barely
sufficient to balance Soviet power, was now deployed in a
world without a single formidable adversary. This “unipolar
moment” had an entirely natural and predictable consequence:
It made the United States more willing to use force abroad.
With the check of Soviet power removed, the United States was
free to intervene practically wherever and whenever it chose —
a fact reflected in the proliferation of overseas military
interventions that began during the first Bush administration
with the invasion of Panama in 1989,
the Persian Gulf War in 1991, and the
humanitarian intervention in Somalia in 1992, continuing during the Clinton years
with interventions in Haiti, Bosnia, and Kosovo. While
American politicians talked of pulling back from the world,
the reality was an America intervening abroad more frequently
than it had throughout most of the Cold War. Thanks to new
technologies, the United States was also freer to use force
around the world in more limited ways through air and missile
strikes, which it did with increasing frequency.
How could this growing transatlantic power gap fail to
create a difference in strategic perceptions? Even during the
Cold War, American military predominance and Europe’s relative
weakness had produced important and sometimes serious
disagreements. Gaullism, Ostpolitik, and the various
movements for European independence and unity were
manifestations not only of a European desire for honor and
freedom of action. They also reflected a European conviction
that America’s approach to the Cold War was too
confrontational, too militaristic, and too dangerous.
Europeans believed they knew better how to deal with the
Soviets: through engagement and seduction, through commercial
and political ties, through patience and forbearance. It was a
legitimate view, shared by many Americans. But it also
reflected Europe’s weakness relative to the United States, the
fewer military options at Europe’s disposal, and its greater
vulnerability to a powerful Soviet Union. It may have
reflected, too, Europe’s memory of continental war. Americans,
when they were not themselves engaged in the subtleties of
détente, viewed the European approach as a form of
appeasement, a return to the fearful mentality of the 1930s. But appeasement is never a dirty word
to those whose genuine weakness offers few appealing
alternatives. For them, it is a policy of sophistication.
The end of the Cold War, by widening the power gap,
exacerbated the disagreements. Although transatlantic tensions
are now widely assumed to have begun with the inauguration of
George W. Bush in January 2001, they
were already evident during the Clinton administration and may
even be traced back to the administration of George H.W. Bush.
By 1992, mutual recriminations were
rife over Bosnia, where the United States refused to act and
Europe could not act. It was during the Clinton years that
Europeans began complaining about being lectured by the
“hectoring hegemon.” This was also the period in which Védrine
coined the term hyperpuissance to describe an American
behemoth too worryingly powerful to be designated merely a
superpower. (Perhaps he was responding to then-Secretary of
State Madeleine Albright’s insistence that the United States
was the world’s “indispensable nation.”) It was also during
the 1990s that the transatlantic
disagreement over American plans for missile defense emerged
and many Europeans began grumbling about the American
propensity to choose force and punishment over diplomacy and
persuasion.
The Clinton administration, meanwhile, though relatively
timid and restrained itself, grew angry and impatient with
European timidity, especially the unwillingness to confront
Saddam Hussein. The split in the alliance over Iraq didn’t
begin with the 2000 election but in
1997, when the Clinton administration
tried to increase the pressure on Baghdad and found itself at
odds with France and (to a lesser extent) Great Britain in the
United Nations Security Council. Even the war in Kosovo was
marked by nervousness among some allies — especially Italy,
Greece, and Germany — that the United States was too
uncompromisingly militaristic in its approach. And while
Europeans and Americans ultimately stood together in the
confrontation with Belgrade, the Kosovo war produced in Europe
less satisfaction at the successful prosecution of the war
than unease at America’s apparent omnipotence. That
apprehension would only increase in the wake of American
military action after September 11,
2001.
The psychology of power and
weakness
oday’s
transatlantic problem, in short, is not a George Bush
problem. It is a power problem. American military strength has
produced a propensity to use that strength. Europe’s military
weakness has produced a perfectly understandable aversion to
the exercise of military power. Indeed, it has produced a
powerful European interest in inhabiting a world where
strength doesn’t matter, where international law and
international institutions predominate, where unilateral
action by powerful nations is forbidden, where all nations
regardless of their strength have equal rights and are equally
protected by commonly agreed-upon international rules of
behavior. Europeans have a deep interest in devaluing and
eventually eradicating the brutal laws of an anarchic,
Hobbesian world where power is the ultimate determinant of
national security and success.
This is no reproach. It is what weaker powers have wanted
from time immemorial. It was what Americans wanted in the
eighteenth and early nineteenth centuries, when the brutality
of a European system of power politics run by the global
giants of France, Britain, and Russia left Americans
constantly vulnerable to imperial thrashing. It was what the
other small powers of Europe wanted in those years, too, only
to be sneered at by Bourbon kings and other powerful monarchs,
who spoke instead of raison d’état. The great proponent
of international law on the high seas in the eighteenth
century was the United States; the great opponent was
Britain’s navy, the “Mistress of the Seas.” In an anarchic
world, small powers always fear they will be victims. Great
powers, on the other hand, often fear rules that may constrain
them more than they fear the anarchy in which their power
brings security and prosperity.
This natural and historic disagreement between the stronger
and the weaker manifests itself in today’s transatlantic
dispute over the question of unilateralism. Europeans
generally believe their objection to American unilateralism is
proof of their greater commitment to certain ideals concerning
world order. They are less willing to acknowledge that their
hostility to unilateralism is also self-interested. Europeans
fear American unilateralism. They fear it perpetuates a
Hobbesian world in which they may become increasingly
vulnerable. The United States may be a relatively benign
hegemon, but insofar as its actions delay the arrival of a
world order more conducive to the safety of weaker powers, it
is objectively dangerous.
This is one reason why in recent years a principal
objective of European foreign policy has become, as one
European observer puts it, the “multilateralising” of the
United States.4 It is not that Europeans are teaming up
against the American hegemon, as Huntington and many realist
theorists would have it, by creating a countervailing power.
After all, Europeans are not increasing their power. Their
tactics, like their goal, are the tactics of the weak. They
hope to constrain American power without wielding power
themselves. In what may be the ultimate feat of subtlety and
indirection, they want to control the behemoth by appealing to
its conscience.
It is a sound strategy, as far as it goes. The United
States is a behemoth with a conscience. It is not Louis
xiv’s France or George iii’s England. Americans do not argue, even
to themselves, that their actions may be justified by
raison d’état. Americans have never accepted the
principles of Europe’s old order, never embraced the
Machiavellian perspective. The United States is a liberal,
progressive society through and through, and to the extent
that Americans believe in power, they believe it must be a
means of advancing the principles of a liberal civilization
and a liberal world order. Americans even share Europe’s
aspirations for a more orderly world system based not on power
but on rules — after all, they were striving for such a world
when Europeans were still extolling the laws of
machtpolitik.
But while these common ideals and aspirations shape foreign
policies on both sides of the Atlantic, they cannot completely
negate the very different perspectives from which Europeans
and Americans view the world and the role of power in
international affairs. Europeans oppose unilateralism in part
because they have no capacity for unilateralism. Polls
consistently show that Americans support multilateral action
in principle — they even support acting under the rubric of
the United Nations — but the fact remains that the United
States can act unilaterally, and has done so many times with
reasonable success. For Europeans, the appeal to
multilateralism and international law has a real practical
payoff and little cost. For Americans, who stand to lose at
least some freedom of action, support for universal rules of
behavior really is a matter of idealism.
Even when Americans and Europeans can agree on the kind of
world order they would strive to build, however, they
increasingly disagree about what constitutes a threat to that
international endeavor. Indeed, Europeans and Americans differ
most these days in their evaluation of what constitutes a
tolerable versus an intolerable threat. This, too, is
consistent with the disparity of power.
Europeans often argue that Americans have an unreasonable
demand for “perfect” security, the product of living for
centuries shielded behind two oceans.5 Europeans claim they know what it is
like to live with danger, to exist side-by-side with evil,
since they’ve done it for centuries. Hence their greater
tolerance for such threats as may be posed by Saddam Hussein’s
Iraq or the ayatollahs’ Iran. Americans, they claim, make far
too much of the dangers these regimes pose.
Even before September 11, this
argument rang a bit hollow. The United States in its formative
decades lived in a state of substantial insecurity, surrounded
by hostile European empires, at constant risk of being torn
apart by centrifugal forces that were encouraged by threats
from without: National insecurity formed the core of
Washington’s Farewell Address. As for the Europeans’ supposed
tolerance for insecurity and evil, it can be overstated. For
the better part of three centuries, European Catholics and
Protestants more often preferred to kill than to tolerate each
other; nor have the past two centuries shown all that much
mutual tolerance between Frenchmen and Germans.
Some Europeans argue that precisely because Europe has
suffered so much, it has a higher tolerance for suffering than
America and therefore a higher tolerance for threats. More
likely the opposite is true. The memory of their horrendous
suffering in World War I made the British and French publics
more fearful of Nazi Germany, not more tolerant, and this
attitude contributed significantly to the appeasement of the
1930s.
A better explanation of Europe’s greater tolerance for
threats is, once again, Europe’s relative weakness. Tolerance
is also very much a realistic response in that Europe,
precisely because it is weak, actually faces fewer threats
than the far more powerful United States.
The psychology of weakness is easy enough to understand. A
man armed only with a knife may decide that a bear prowling
the forest is a tolerable danger, inasmuch as the alternative
— hunting the bear armed only with a knife — is actually
riskier than lying low and hoping the bear never attacks. The
same man armed with a rifle, however, will likely make a
different calculation of what constitutes a tolerable risk.
Why should he risk being mauled to death if he doesn’t need
to?
This perfectly normal human psychology is helping to drive
a wedge between the United States and Europe today. Europeans
have concluded, reasonably enough, that the threat posed by
Saddam Hussein is more tolerable for them than the risk of
removing him. But Americans, being stronger, have reasonably
enough developed a lower threshold of tolerance for Saddam and
his weapons of mass destruction, especially after September
11. Europeans like to say that
Americans are obsessed with fixing problems, but it is
generally true that those with a greater capacity to fix
problems are more likely to try to fix them than those who
have no such capability. Americans can imagine successfully
invading Iraq and toppling Saddam, and therefore more than
70 percent of Americans apparently
favor such action. Europeans, not surprisingly, find the
prospect both unimaginable and frightening.
The incapacity to respond to threats leads not only to
tolerance but sometimes to denial. It’s normal to try to put
out of one’s mind that which one can do nothing about.
According to one student of European opinion, even the very
focus on “threats” differentiates American policymakers from
their European counterparts. Americans, writes Steven Everts,
talk about foreign “threats” such as “the proliferation of
weapons of mass destruction, terrorism, and ‘rogue states.’”
But Europeans look at “challenges,” such as “ethnic conflict,
migration, organized crime, poverty and environmental
degradation.” As Everts notes, however, the key difference is
less a matter of culture and philosophy than of capability.
Europeans “are most worried about issues . . . that have a
greater chance of being solved by political engagement and
huge sums of money.” In other words, Europeans focus on issues
— “challenges” — where European strengths come into play but
not on those “threats” where European weakness makes solutions
elusive. If Europe’s strategic culture today places less value
on power and military strength and more value on such
soft-power tools as economics and trade, isn’t it partly
because Europe is militarily weak and economically strong?
Americans are quicker to acknowledge the existence of threats,
even to perceive them where others may not see any, because
they can conceive of doing something to meet those
threats.
The differing threat perceptions in the United States and
Europe are not just matters of psychology, however. They are
also grounded in a practical reality that is another product
of the disparity of power. For Iraq and other “rogue” states
objectively do not pose the same level of threat to
Europeans as they do to the United States. There is, first of
all, the American security guarantee that Europeans enjoy and
have enjoyed for six decades, ever since the United States
took upon itself the burden of maintaining order in far-flung
regions of the world — from the Korean Peninsula to the
Persian Gulf — from which European power had largely
withdrawn. Europeans generally believe, whether or not they
admit it to themselves, that were Iraq ever to emerge as a
real and present danger, as opposed to merely a potential
danger, then the United States would do something about it —
as it did in 1991. If during the Cold
War Europe by necessity made a major contribution to its own
defense, today Europeans enjoy an unparalleled measure of
“free security” because most of the likely threats are in
regions outside Europe, where only the United States can
project effective force. In a very practical sense — that is,
when it comes to actual strategic planning — neither Iraq nor
Iran nor North Korea nor any other “rogue” state in the world
is primarily a European problem. Nor, certainly, is China.
Both Europeans and Americans agree that these are primarily
American problems.
This is why Saddam Hussein is not as great a threat to
Europe as he is to the United States. He would be a greater
threat to the United States even were the Americans and
Europeans in complete agreement on Iraq policy, because it is
the logical consequence of the transatlantic disparity of
power. The task of containing Saddam Hussein belongs primarily
to the United States, not to Europe, and everyone agrees on
this6 — including Saddam, which is why he
considers the United States, not Europe, his principal
adversary. In the Persian Gulf, in the Middle East, and in
most other regions of the world (including Europe), the United
States plays the role of ultimate enforcer. “You are so
powerful,” Europeans often say to Americans. “So why do you
feel so threatened?” But it is precisely America’s great power
that makes it the primary target, and often the only target.
Europeans are understandably content that it should remain
so.
Americans are “cowboys,” Europeans love to say. And there
is truth in this. The United States does act as an
international sheriff, self-appointed perhaps but widely
welcomed nevertheless, trying to enforce some peace and
justice in what Americans see as a lawless world where outlaws
need to be deterred or destroyed, and often through the muzzle
of a gun. Europe, by this old West analogy, is more like a
saloonkeeper. Outlaws shoot sheriffs, not saloonkeepers. In
fact, from the saloonkeeper’s point of view, the sheriff
trying to impose order by force can sometimes be more
threatening than the outlaws who, at least for the time being,
may just want a drink.
When Europeans took to the streets by the millions after
September 11, most Americans believed
it was out of a sense of shared danger and common interest:
The Europeans knew they could be next. But Europeans by and
large did not feel that way and still don’t. Europeans do not
really believe they are next. They may be secondary targets —
because they are allied with the U.S. — but they are not the
primary target, because they no longer play the imperial role
in the Middle East that might have engendered the same
antagonism against them as is aimed at the United States. When
Europeans wept and waved American flags after September 11, it was out of genuine human sympathy,
sorrow, and affection for Americans. For better or for worse,
European displays of solidarity were a product more of
fellow-feeling than self-interest.
The origins of modern European
foreign policy
mportant as
the power gap may be in shaping the respective
strategic cultures of the United States and Europe, it is only
one part of the story. Europe in the past half-century has
developed a genuinely different perspective on the role of
power in international relations, a perspective that springs
directly from its unique historical experience since the end
of World War II. It is a perspective that Americans do not
share and cannot share, inasmuch as the formative historical
experiences on their side of the Atlantic have not been the
same.
Consider again the qualities that make up the European
strategic culture: the emphasis on negotiation, diplomacy, and
commercial ties, on international law over the use of force,
on seduction over coercion, on multilateralism over
unilateralism. It is true that these are not traditionally
European approaches to international relations when viewed
from a long historical perspective. But they are a product of
more recent European history. The modern European strategic
culture represents a conscious rejection of the European past,
a rejection of the evils of European machtpolitik. It
is a reflection of Europeans’ ardent and understandable desire
never to return to that past. Who knows better than Europeans
the dangers that arise from unbridled power politics, from an
excessive reliance on military force, from policies produced
by national egoism and ambition, even from balance of power
and raison d’état? As German Foreign Minister Joschka
Fischer put it in a speech outlining his vision of the
European future at Humboldt University in Berlin (May 12, 2000), “The core of the concept of
Europe after 1945 was and still is a
rejection of the European balance-of-power principle and the
hegemonic ambitions of individual states that had emerged
following the Peace of Westphalia in 1648.” The European Union is itself the
product of an awful century of European warfare.
Of course, it was the “hegemonic ambitions” of one nation
in particular that European integration was meant to contain.
And it is the integration and taming of Germany that is the
great accomplishment of Europe — viewed historically, perhaps
the greatest feat of international politics ever achieved.
Some Europeans recall, as Fischer does, the central role
played by the United States in solving the “German problem.”
Fewer like to recall that the military destruction of Nazi
Germany was the prerequisite for the European peace that
followed. Most Europeans believe that it was the
transformation of European politics, the deliberate
abandonment and rejection of centuries of machtpolitik,
that in the end made possible the “new order.” The Europeans,
who invented power politics, turned themselves into born-again
idealists by an act of will, leaving behind them what Fischer
called “the old system of balance with its continued national
orientation, constraints of coalition, traditional
interest-led politics and the permanent danger of nationalist
ideologies and confrontations.”
Fischer stands near one end of the spectrum of European
idealism. But this is not really a right-left issue in Europe.
Fischer’s principal contention — that Europe has moved beyond
the old system of power politics and discovered a new system
for preserving peace in international relations — is widely
shared across Europe. As senior British diplomat Robert Cooper
recently wrote in the Observer (April 7, 2002), Europe today lives in a
“postmodern system” that does not rest on a balance of power
but on “the rejection of force” and on “self-enforced rules of
behavior.” In the “postmodern world,” writes Cooper,
“raison d’état and the amorality of Machiavelli’s
theories of statecraft . . . have been replaced by a moral
consciousness” in international affairs.
American realists might scoff at this idealism. George F.
Kennan assumed only his naïve fellow Americans succumbed to
such “Wilsonian” legalistic and moralistic fancies, not those
war-tested, historically minded European Machiavels. But,
really, why shouldn’t Europeans be idealistic about
international affairs, at least as they are conducted in
Europe’s “postmodern system”? Within the confines of Europe,
the age-old laws of international relations have been
repealed. Europeans have stepped out of the Hobbesian world of
anarchy into the Kantian world of perpetual peace. European
life during the more than five decades since the end of World
War II has been shaped not by the brutal laws of power
politics but by the unfolding of a geopolitical fantasy, a
miracle of world-historical importance: The German lion has
laid down with the French lamb. The conflict that ravaged
Europe ever since the violent birth of Germany in the
nineteenth century has been put to rest.
The means by which this miracle has been achieved have
understandably acquired something of a sacred mystique for
Europeans, especially since the end of the Cold War.
Diplomacy, negotiations, patience, the forging of economic
ties, political engagement, the use of inducements rather than
sanctions, the taking of small steps and tempering ambitions
for success — these were the tools of Franco-German
rapprochement and hence the tools that made European
integration possible. Integration was not to be based on
military deterrence or the balance of power. Quite the
contrary. The miracle came from the rejection of military
power and of its utility as an instrument of international
affairs — at least within the confines of Europe. During the
Cold War, few Europeans doubted the need for military power to
deter the Soviet Union. But within Europe the rules were
different.
Collective security was provided from without, meanwhile,
by the deus ex machina of the United States operating
through the military structures of nato. Within this wall of security,
Europeans pursued their new order, freed from the brutal laws
and even the mentality of power politics. This evolution from
the old to the new began in Europe during the Cold War. But
the end of the Cold War, by removing even the external danger
of the Soviet Union, allowed Europe’s new order, and its new
idealism, to blossom fully. Freed from the requirements of any
military deterrence, internal or external, Europeans became
still more confident that their way of settling international
problems now had universal application.
“The genius of the founding fathers,” European Commission
President Romano Prodi commented in a speech at the Institute
d’Etudes Politiques in Paris (May 29,
2001), “lay in translating extremely high political
ambitions . . . into a series of more specific, almost
technical decisions. This indirect approach made further
action possible. Rapprochement took place gradually. From
confrontation we moved to willingness to cooperate in the
economic sphere and then on to integration.” This is what many
Europeans believe they have to offer the world: not power, but
the transcendence of power. The “essence” of the European
Union, writes Everts, is “all about subjecting inter-state
relations to the rule of law,” and Europe’s experience of
successful multilateral governance has in turn produced an
ambition to convert the world. Europe “has a role to play in
world ‘governance,’” says Prodi, a role based on replicating
the European experience on a global scale. In Europe “the rule
of law has replaced the crude interplay of power . . . power
politics have lost their influence.” And by “making a success
of integration we are demonstrating to the world that it is
possible to create a method for peace.”
No doubt there are Britons, Germans, French, and others who
would frown on such exuberant idealism. But many Europeans,
including many in positions of power, routinely apply Europe’s
experience to the rest of the world. For is not the general
European critique of the American approach to “rogue” regimes
based on this special European insight? Iraq, Iran, North
Korea, Libya — these states may be dangerous and unpleasant,
even evil. But might not an “indirect approach” work again, as
it did in Europe? Might it not be possible once more to move
from confrontation to rapprochement, beginning with
cooperation in the economic sphere and then moving on to
peaceful integration? Could not the formula that worked in
Europe work again with Iran or even Iraq? A great many
Europeans insist that it can.
The transmission of the European miracle to the rest of the
world has become Europe’s new mission civilisatrice.
Just as Americans have always believed that they had
discovered the secret to human happiness and wished to export
it to the rest of the world, so the Europeans have a new
mission born of their own discovery of perpetual peace.
Thus we arrive at what may be the most important reason for
the divergence in views between Europe and the United States.
America’s power, and its willingness to exercise that power —
unilaterally if necessary — represents a threat to Europe’s
new sense of mission. Perhaps the greatest threat. American
policymakers find it hard to believe, but leading officials
and politicians in Europe worry more about how the United
States might handle or mishandle the problem of Iraq — by
undertaking unilateral and extralegal military action — than
they worry about Iraq itself and Saddam Hussein’s weapons of
mass destruction. And while it is true that they fear such
action might destabilize the Middle East and lead to the
unnecessary loss of life, there is a deeper concern.7 Such American action represents an
assault on the essence of “postmodern” Europe. It is an
assault on Europe’s new ideals, a denial of their universal
validity, much as the monarchies of eighteenth- and
nineteenth-century Europe were an assault on American
republican ideals. Americans ought to be the first to
understand that a threat to one’s beliefs can be as
frightening as a threat to one’s physical security.
As Americans have for two centuries, Europeans speak with
great confidence of the superiority of their global
understanding, the wisdom they have to offer other nations
about conflict resolution, and their way of addressing
international problems. But just as in the first decade of the
American republic, there is a hint of insecurity in the
European claim to “success,” an evident need to have their
success affirmed and their views accepted by other nations,
particularly by the mighty United States. After all, to deny
the validity of the new European idealism is to raise profound
doubts about the viability of the European project. If
international problems cannot, in fact, be settled the
European way, wouldn’t that suggest that Europe itself may
eventually fall short of a solution, with all the horrors this
implies?
And, of course, it is precisely this fear that still hangs
over Europeans, even as Europe moves forward. Europeans, and
particularly the French and Germans, are not entirely sure
that the problem once known as the “German problem” really has
been solved. As their various and often very different
proposals for the future constitution of Europe suggest, the
French are still not confident they can trust the Germans, and
the Germans are still not sure they can trust themselves. This
fear can at times hinder progress toward deeper integration,
but it also propels the European project forward despite
innumerable obstacles. The European project must succeed, for
how else to overcome what Fischer, in his Humboldt University
speech, called “the risks and temptations objectively inherent
in Germany’s dimensions and central situation”? Those historic
German “temptations” play at the back of many a European mind.
And every time Europe contemplates the use of military force,
or is forced to do so by the United States, there is no
avoiding at least momentary consideration of what effect such
a military action might have on the “German question.”
Perhaps it is not just coincidence that the amazing
progress toward European integration in recent years has been
accompanied not by the emergence of a European superpower but,
on the contrary, by a diminishing of European military
capabilities relative to the United States. Turning Europe
into a global superpower capable of balancing the power of the
United States may have been one of the original selling points
of the European Union — an independent European foreign and
defense policy was supposed to be one of the most important
byproducts of European integration. But, in truth, the
ambition for European “power” is something of an anachronism.
It is an atavistic impulse, inconsistent with the ideals of
postmodern Europe, whose very existence depends on the
rejection of power politics. Whatever its architects may have
intended, European integration has proved to be the enemy of
European military power and, indeed, of an important European
global role.
This phenomenon has manifested itself not only in flat or
declining European defense budgets, but in other ways, too,
even in the realm of “soft” power. European leaders talk of
Europe’s essential role in the world. Prodi yearns “to make
our voice heard, to make our actions count.” And it is true
that Europeans spend a great deal of money on foreign aid —
more per capita, they like to point out, than does the United
States. Europeans engage in overseas military missions, so
long as the missions are mostly limited to peacekeeping. But
while the eu periodically dips its
fingers into troubled international waters in the Middle East
or the Korean Peninsula, the truth is that eu foreign policy is probably the most
anemic of all the products of European integration. As Charles
Grant, a sympathetic observer of the eu, recently noted, few European leaders
“are giving it much time or energy.”8 eu foreign
policy initiatives tend to be short-lived and are rarely
backed by sustained agreement on the part of the various
European powers. That is one reason they are so easily
rebuffed, as was the case in late March when Israeli Prime
Minister Ariel Sharon blocked eu
foreign policy chief Javier Solana from meeting with
Yasser Arafat (only to turn around the next day and allow a
much lower-ranking American negotiator to meet with the
Palestinian leader).
It is obvious, moreover, that issues outside of Europe
don’t attract nearly as much interest among Europeans as
purely European issues do. This has surprised and frustrated
Americans on all sides of the political and strategic debate:
Recall the profound disappointment of American liberals when
Europeans failed to mount an effective protest against Bush’s
withdrawal from the abm treaty. But
given the enormous and difficult agenda of integration, this
European tendency to look inward is understandable. eu enlargement, the revision of the common
economic and agricultural policies, the question of national
sovereignty versus supranational governance, the so-called
democracy deficit, the jostling of the large European powers,
the dissatisfaction of the smaller powers, the establishment
of a new European constitution — all of these present serious
and unavoidable challenges. The difficulties of moving forward
might seem insuperable were it not for the progress the
project of European integration has already demonstrated.
American policies that are unwelcome on substance — on a
missile defense system and the abm
treaty, belligerence toward Iraq, support for Israel — are all
the more unwelcome because for Europe, they are a distraction.
Europeans often point to American insularity and parochialism.
But Europeans themselves have turned intensely introspective.
As Dominique Moisi noted in the Financial Times (March
11, 2002), the recent French
presidential campaign saw “no reference . . . to the events of
September 11 and their far-reaching
consequences.” No one asked, “What should be the role of
France and Europe in the new configuration of forces created
after September 11? How should France
reappraise its military budget and doctrine to take account of
the need to maintain some kind of parity between Europe and
the United States, or at least between France and the uk?” The Middle East conflict became an
issue in the campaign because of France’s large Arab and
Muslim population, as the high vote for Le Pen demonstrated.
But Le Pen is not a foreign policy hawk. And as Moisi noted,
“for most French voters in 2002,
security has little to do with abstract and distant
geopolitics. Rather, it is a question of which politician can
best protect them from the crime and violence plaguing the
streets and suburbs of their cities.”
Can Europe change course and assume a larger role on the
world stage? There has been no shortage of European leaders
urging it to do so. Nor is the weakness of eu foreign policy today necessarily proof
that it must be weak tomorrow, given the eu’s record of overcoming weaknesses in
other areas. And yet the political will to demand more power
for Europe appears to be lacking, and for the very good reason
that Europe does not see a mission for itself that requires
power. Its mission is to oppose power. It is revealing that
the argument most often advanced by Europeans for augmenting
their military strength these days is not that it will allow
Europe to expand its strategic purview. It is merely to rein
in and “multilateralize” the United States. “America,” writes
the pro-American British scholar Timothy Garton Ash in the
New York Times (April 9, 2002),
“has too much power for anyone’s good, including its own.”
Therefore Europe must amass power, but for no other reason
than to save the world and the United States from the dangers
inherent in the present lopsided situation.
Whether that particular mission is a worthy one or not, it
seems unlikely to rouse European passions. Even Védrine has
stopped talking about counterbalancing the United States. Now
he shrugs and declares there “is no reason for the Europeans
to match a country that can fight four wars at once.” It was
one thing for Europe in the 1990s to
increase its collective expenditures on defense from $150 billion per year to $180 billion when the United States was
spending $280 billion per year. But
now the United States is heading toward spending as much as
$500 billion per year, and Europe has
not the slightest intention of keeping up. European analysts
lament the continent’s “strategic irrelevance.” nato Secretary General George Robertson has
taken to calling Europe a “military pygmy” in an effort to
shame Europeans into spending more and doing so more wisely.
But who honestly believes Europeans will fundamentally change
their way of doing business? They have many reasons not
to.
The U.S. response
n thinking
about the divergence of their own views and Europeans’,
Americans must not lose sight of the main point: The new
Europe is indeed a blessed miracle and a reason for enormous
celebration — on both sides of the Atlantic. For Europeans, it
is the realization of a long and improbable dream: a continent
free from nationalist strife and blood feuds, from military
competition and arms races. War between the major European
powers is almost unimaginable. After centuries of misery, not
only for Europeans but also for those pulled into their
conflicts — as Americans were twice in the past century — the
new Europe really has emerged as a paradise. It is something
to be cherished and guarded, not least by Americans, who have
shed blood on Europe’s soil and would shed more should the new
Europe ever fail.
Nor should we forget that the Europe of today is very much
the product of American foreign policy stretching back over
six decades. European integration was an American project,
too, after World War II. And so, recall, was European
weakness. When the Cold War dawned, Americans such as Dean
Acheson hoped to create in Europe a powerful partner against
the Soviet Union. But that was not the only American vision of
Europe underlying U.S. policies during the twentieth century.
Predating it was Franklin Delano Roosevelt’s vision of a
Europe that had been rendered, in effect, strategically
irrelevant. As the historian John Lamberton Harper has put it,
he wanted “to bring about a radical reduction in the weight of
Europe” and thereby make possible “the retirement of Europe
from world politics.”9
Americans who came of age during the Cold War have always
thought of Europe almost exclusively in Achesonian terms — as
the essential bulwark of freedom in the struggle against
Soviet tyranny. But Americans of Roosevelt’s era had a
different view. In the late 1930s the
common conviction of Americans was that “the European system
was basically rotten, that war was endemic on that continent,
and the Europeans had only themselves to blame for their
plight.”10 By the early 1940s Europe appeared to be nothing more
than the overheated incubator of world wars that cost America
dearly. During World War II Americans like Roosevelt, looking
backward rather than forward, believed no greater service
could be performed than to take Europe out of the global
strategic picture once and for all. “After Germany is
disarmed,” fdr pointedly asked, “what
is the reason for France having a big military establishment?”
Charles DeGaulle found such questions “disquieting for Europe
and for France.” Even though the United States pursued
Acheson’s vision during the Cold War, there was always a part
of American policy that reflected Roosevelt’s vision, too.
Eisenhower undermining Britain and France at Suez was only the
most blatant of many American efforts to cut Europe down to
size and reduce its already weakened global influence.
But the more important American contribution to Europe’s
current world-apart status stemmed not from anti-European but
from pro-European impulses. It was a commitment to Europe, not
hostility to Europe, that led the United States in the
immediate postwar years to keep troops on the continent and to
create nato. The presence of American
forces as a security guarantee in Europe was, as it was
intended to be, the critical ingredient to begin the process
of European integration.
Europe’s evolution to its present state occurred under the
mantle of the U.S. security guarantee and could not have
occurred without it. Not only did the United States for almost
half a century supply a shield against such external threats
as the Soviet Union and such internal threats as may have been
posed by ethnic conflict in places like the Balkans. More
important, the United States was the key to the solution of
the German problem and perhaps still is. Germany’s Fischer, in
the Humboldt University speech, noted two “historic decisions”
that made the new Europe possible: “the usa’s decision to stay in Europe” and
“France’s and Germany’s commitment to the principle of
integration, beginning with economic links.” But of course the
latter could never have occurred without the former. France’s
willingness to risk the reintegration of Germany into Europe —
and France was, to say the least, highly dubious — depended on
the promise of continued American involvement in Europe as a
guarantee against any resurgence of German militarism. Nor
were postwar Germans unaware that their own future in Europe
depended on the calming presence of the American military.
The United States, in short, solved the Kantian paradox for
the Europeans. Kant had argued that the only solution to the
immoral horrors of the Hobbesian world was the creation of a
world government. But he also feared that the “state of
universal peace” made possible by world government would be an
even greater threat to human freedom than the Hobbesian
international order, inasmuch as such a government, with its
monopoly of power, would become “the most horrible
despotism.”11 How nations could achieve perpetual
peace without destroying human freedom was a problem Kant
could not solve. But for Europe the problem was solved by the
United States. By providing security from outside, the United
States has rendered it unnecessary for Europe’s supranational
government to provide it. Europeans did not need power to
achieve peace and they do not need power to preserve it.
The current situation abounds in ironies. Europe’s
rejection of power politics, its devaluing of military force
as a tool of international relations, have depended on the
presence of American military forces on European soil.
Europe’s new Kantian order could flourish only under the
umbrella of American power exercised according to the rules of
the old Hobbesian order. American power made it possible for
Europeans to believe that power was no longer important. And
now, in the final irony, the fact that United States military
power has solved the European problem, especially the “German
problem,” allows Europeans today to believe that American
military power, and the “strategic culture” that has created
and sustained it, are outmoded and dangerous.
Most Europeans do not see the great paradox: that their
passage into post-history has depended on the United States
not making the same passage. Because Europe has neither the
will nor the ability to guard its own paradise and keep it
from being overrun, spiritually as well as physically, by a
world that has yet to accept the rule of “moral
consciousness,” it has become dependent on America’s
willingness to use its military might to deter or defeat those
around the world who still believe in power politics.
Some Europeans do understand the conundrum. Some Britons,
not surprisingly, understand it best. Thus Robert Cooper
writes of the need to address the hard truth that although
“within the postmodern world [i.e., the Europe of today],
there are no security threats in the traditional sense,”
nevertheless, throughout the rest of the world — what Cooper
calls the “modern and pre-modern zones” — threats abound. If
the postmodern world does not protect itself, it can be
destroyed. But how does Europe protect itself without
discarding the very ideals and principles that undergird its
pacific system?
“The challenge to the postmodern world,” Cooper argues, “is
to get used to the idea of double standards.” Among
themselves, Europeans may “operate on the basis of laws and
open cooperative security.” But when dealing with the world
outside Europe, “we need to revert to the rougher methods of
an earlier era — force, preemptive attack, deception, whatever
is necessary.” This is Cooper’s principle for safeguarding
society: “Among ourselves, we keep the law but when we are
operating in the jungle, we must also use the laws of the
jungle.”
Cooper’s argument is directed at Europe, and it is
appropriately coupled with a call for Europeans to cease
neglecting their defenses, “both physical and psychological.”
But what Cooper really describes is not Europe’s future but
America’s present. For it is the United States that has had
the difficult task of navigating between these two worlds,
trying to abide by, defend, and further the laws of advanced
civilized society while simultaneously employing military
force against those who refuse to abide by those rules. The
United States is already operating according to Cooper’s
double standard, and for the very reasons he suggests.
American leaders, too, believe that global security and a
liberal order — as well as Europe’s “postmodern” paradise —
cannot long survive unless the United States does use its
power in the dangerous, Hobbesian world that still flourishes
outside Europe.
What this means is that although the United States has
played the critical role in bringing Europe into this Kantian
paradise, and still plays a key role in making that paradise
possible, it cannot enter this paradise itself. It mans the
walls but cannot walk through the gate. The United States,
with all its vast power, remains stuck in history, left to
deal with the Saddams and the ayatollahs, the Kim Jong Ils and
the Jiang Zemins, leaving the happy benefits to others.
An acceptable
division?
s this
situation tolerable for the United States? In many
ways, it is. Contrary to what many believe, the United States
can shoulder the burden of maintaining global security without
much help from Europe. The United States spends a little over
3 percent of its gdp on defense today. Were Americans to
increase that to 4 percent — meaning a
defense budget in excess of $500
billion per year — it would still represent a smaller
percentage of national wealth than Americans spent on defense
throughout most of the past half-century. Even Paul Kennedy,
who invented the term “imperial overstretch” in the late 1980s (when the United States was spending
around 7 percent of its gdp on defense), believes the United States
can sustain its current military spending levels and its
current global dominance far into the future. Can the United
States handle the rest of the world without much help from
Europe? The answer is that it already does. The United States
has maintained strategic stability in Asia with no help from
Europe. In the Gulf War, European help was token; so it has
been more recently in Afghanistan, where Europeans are once
again “doing the dishes”; and so it would be in an invasion of
Iraq to unseat Saddam. Europe has had little to offer the
United States in strategic military terms since the end of the
Cold War — except, of course, that most valuable of strategic
assets, a Europe at peace.
The United States can manage, therefore, at least in
material terms. Nor can one argue that the American people are
unwilling to shoulder this global burden, since they have done
so for a decade already. After September 11, they seem willing to continue doing so
for a long time to come. Americans apparently feel no
resentment at not being able to enter a “postmodern” utopia.
There is no evidence most Americans desire to. Partly because
they are so powerful, they take pride in their nation’s
military power and their nation’s special role in the
world.
Americans have no experience that would lead them to
embrace fully the ideals and principles that now animate
Europe. Indeed, Americans derive their understanding of the
world from a very different set of experiences. In the first
half of the twentieth century, Americans had a flirtation with
a certain kind of internationalist idealism. Wilson’s “war to
end all wars” was followed a decade later by an American
secretary of state putting his signature to a treaty outlawing
war. fdr in the 1930s put his faith in non-aggression pacts
and asked merely that Hitler promise not to attack a list of
countries Roosevelt presented to him. But then came Munich and
Pearl Harbor, and then, after a fleeting moment of renewed
idealism, the plunge into the Cold War. The “lesson of Munich”
came to dominate American strategic thought, and although it
was supplanted for a time by the “lesson of Vietnam,” today it
remains the dominant paradigm. While a small segment of the
American elite still yearns for “global governance” and
eschews military force, Americans from Madeleine Albright to
Donald Rumsfeld, from Brent Scowcroft to Anthony Lake, still
remember Munich, figuratively if not literally. And for
younger generations of Americans who do not remember Munich or
Pearl Harbor, there is now September 11. After September 11, even many American globalizers demand
blood.
Americans are idealists, but they have no experience of
promoting ideals successfully without power. Certainly, they
have no experience of successful supranational governance;
little to make them place their faith in international law and
international institutions, much as they might wish to; and
even less to let them travel, with the Europeans, beyond
power. Americans, as good children of the Enlightenment, still
believe in the perfectibility of man, and they retain hope for
the perfectibility of the world. But they remain realists in
the limited sense that they still believe in the necessity of
power in a world that remains far from perfection. Such law as
there may be to regulate international behavior, they believe,
exists because a power like the United States defends it by
force of arms. In other words, just as Europeans claim,
Americans can still sometimes see themselves in heroic terms —
as Gary Cooper at high noon. They will defend the townspeople,
whether the townspeople want them to or not.
The problem lies neither in American will or capability,
then, but precisely in the inherent moral tension of the
current international situation. As is so often the case in
human affairs, the real question is one of intangibles — of
fears, passions, and beliefs. The problem is that the United
States must sometimes play by the rules of a Hobbesian world,
even though in doing so it violates European norms. It must
refuse to abide by certain international conventions that may
constrain its ability to fight effectively in Robert Cooper’s
jungle. It must support arms control, but not always for
itself. It must live by a double standard. And it must
sometimes act unilaterally, not out of a passion for
unilateralism but, given a weak Europe that has moved beyond
power, because the United States has no choice but to
act unilaterally.
Few Europeans admit, as Cooper does implicitly, that such
American behavior may redound to the greater benefit of the
civilized world, that American power, even employed under a
double standard, may be the best means of advancing human
progress — and perhaps the only means. Instead, many Europeans
today have come to consider the United States itself to be the
outlaw, a rogue colossus. Europeans have complained about
President Bush’s “unilateralism,” but they are coming to the
deeper realization that the problem is not Bush or any
American president. It is systemic. And it is incurable.
Given that the United States is unlikely to reduce its
power and that Europe is unlikely to increase more than
marginally its own power or the will to use what power it has,
the future seems certain to be one of increased transatlantic
tension. The danger — if it is a danger — is that the United
States and Europe will become positively estranged. Europeans
will become more shrill in their attacks on the United States.
The United States will become less inclined to listen, or
perhaps even to care. The day could come, if it has not
already, when Americans will no more heed the pronouncements
of the eu than they do the
pronouncements of asean or the Andean
Pact.
To those of us who came of age in the Cold War, the
strategic decoupling of Europe and the United States seems
frightening. DeGaulle, when confronted by fdr’s vision of a world where Europe was
irrelevant, recoiled and suggested that this vision “risked
endangering the Western world.” If Western Europe was to be
considered a “secondary matter” by the United States, would
not fdr only “weaken the very cause he
meant to serve — that of civilization?” Western Europe,
DeGaulle insisted, was “essential to the West. Nothing can
replace the value, the power, the shining example of the
ancient peoples.” Typically, DeGaulle insisted this was “true
of France above all.” But leaving aside French amour
propre, did not DeGaulle have a point? If Americans were
to decide that Europe was no more than an irritating
irrelevancy, would American society gradually become unmoored
from what we now call the West? It is not a risk to be taken
lightly, on either side of the Atlantic.
So what is to be done? The obvious answer is that Europe
should follow the course that Cooper, Ash, Robertson, and
others recommend and build up its military capabilities, even
if only marginally. There is not much ground for hope that
this will happen. But, then, who knows? Maybe concern about
America’s overweening power really will create some energy in
Europe. Perhaps the atavistic impulses that still swirl in the
hearts of Germans, Britons, and Frenchmen — the memory of
power, international influence, and national ambition — can
still be played upon. Some Britons still remember empire; some
Frenchmen still yearn for la gloire; some Germans still
want their place in the sun. These urges are now mostly
channeled into the grand European project, but they could find
more traditional expression. Whether this is to be hoped for
or feared is another question. It would be better still if
Europeans could move beyond fear and anger at the rogue
colossus and remember, again, the vital necessity of having a
strong America — for the world and especially for Europe.
Americans can help. It is true that the Bush administration
came into office with a chip on its shoulder. It was hostile
to the new Europe — as to a lesser extent was the Clinton
administration — seeing it not so much as an ally but as an
albatross. Even after September 11,
when the Europeans offered their very limited military
capabilities in the fight in Afghanistan, the United States
resisted, fearing that European cooperation was a ruse to tie
America down. The Bush administration viewed nato’s historic decision to aid the United
States under Article V less as a boon than as a booby trap. An
opportunity to draw Europe into common battle out in the
Hobbesian world, even in a minor role, was thereby
unnecessarily lost.
Americans are powerful enough that they need not fear
Europeans, even when bearing gifts. Rather than viewing the
United States as a Gulliver tied down by Lilliputian threads,
American leaders should realize that they are hardly
constrained at all, that Europe is not really capable of
constraining the United States. If the United States could
move past the anxiety engendered by this inaccurate sense of
constraint, it could begin to show more understanding for the
sensibilities of others, a little generosity of spirit. It
could pay its respects to multilateralism and the rule of law
and try to build some international political capital for
those moments when multilateralism is impossible and
unilateral action unavoidable. It could, in short, take more
care to show what the founders called a “decent respect for
the opinion of mankind.”
These are small steps, and they will not address the deep
problems that beset the transatlantic relationship today. But,
after all, it is more than a cliché that the United States and
Europe share a set of common Western beliefs. Their
aspirations for humanity are much the same, even if their vast
disparity of power has now put them in very different places.
Perhaps it is not too naïvely optimistic to believe that a
little common understanding could still go a long way.
Notes
1One representative French observer
describes “a U.S. mindset” that “tends to emphasize military,
technical and unilateral solutions to international problems,
possibly at the expense of co-operative and political ones.”
See Gilles Andreani, “The Disarray of U.S. Non-Proliferation
Policy,” Survival (Winter 1999-2000).
2The case of Bosnia in the early 1990s
stands out as an instance where some Europeans, chiefly
British Prime Minister Tony Blair, were at times more forceful
in advocating military action than first the Bush and then the
Clinton administration. (Blair was also an early advocate of
using air power and even ground troops in the Kosovo crisis.)
And Europeans had forces on the ground in Bosnia when the
United States did not, although in a un peacekeeping role that
proved ineffective when challenged.
3Samuel P. Huntington, “The Lonely
Superpower,” Foreign Affairs (March-April 1999).
4Steven Everts, “Unilateral America,
Lightweight Europe?: Managing Divergence in Transatlantic
Foreign Policy,” Centre for European Reform working paper
(February 2001).
5For that matter, this is also the view
commonly found in American textbooks.
6Notwithstanding the British contribution of
patrols of the “no-fly zone.”
7The common American argument that European
policy toward Iraq and Iran is dictated by financial
considerations is only partly right. Are Europeans greedier
than Americans? Do American corporations not influence
American policy in Asia and Latin America, as well as in the
Middle East? The difference is that American strategic
judgments sometimes conflict with and override financial
interests. For the reasons suggested in this essay, that
conflict is much less common for Europeans.
8Charles Grant, “A European View of ESDP,”
Centre for European Policy Studies working paper (April 2001).
9John Lamberton Harper, American Visions
of Europe: Franklin D. Roosevelt, George F. Kennan, and Dean
G. Acheson (Cambridge University Press, 1996), 3. The
following discussion of the differing American perspectives on
Europe owes much to Harper’s fine book.
10William L. Langer and S. Everett Gleason,
The Challenge to Isolation, 1937–1940 (Harper Bros.,
1952), 14.
11See Thomas L. Pangle and Peter J.
Ahrensdorf, Justice Among Nations: On the Moral Basis of
Power and Peace (University Press of Kansas, 1999),
200–201.
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