NATO
and US Interests after 60 Years:
Challenges and Opportunities
Presentation
by
Stanley
R. Sloan
13th
Annual Military Ball, Pierre Claeyssens Veterans Museum and Library
Santa
Barbara, California
November
8, 2008
Thank
you for the generous invitation and the warm welcome you’ve given my wife
Monika and me.
It’s
a true pleasure to have the opportunity to meet with you on this important
occasion, in support of an extraordinary project.
I’m
humbled to be in your presence.
I
wish my late father and mother could have been with us.
During
the Second World War, my dad served in North Africa and Italy as an aircraft
mechanic in the Army Air Corps.
By
his own description, he was no hero, but he went to war in defense of his
country, while my mother worked in support of the war effort here at home.
My
parents had one last opportunity to be together in New Jersey before my father
was deployed to North Africa.
Family
mementos suggest that they went to a football game between the Washington
Redskins and the New York Giants.
I
was born nine months later, while my dad was overseas.
I
suspect all of this had something to do with the fact that I grew up a Giants
fan and then transferred my allegiance to the Redskins after moving to
Washington!
Nonetheless,
as a result, I feel a real and direct tie to the generation that fought World
War II.
Members
of this “greatest generation,” using Tom Brokaw’s words,
defended not only the United States but also the democratic values on which
this Republic is founded and on which so many other nations have come to
rely.
As
for myself, I have to admit I feel a little out of place standing before you in
this monkey suit.
There
usually isn’t much call for tuxedos in Vermont.
The
last outfit like this that I wore was my Air Force “mess dress.”
On
the other hand, my audiences at the NATO Defense College in Italy,
are filled with senior US and allied military officers, which gives me a
certain level of comfort in speaking to you tonight.
My
task, and my pleasure, is to talk about the foreign and security policy
interests of a country – our country – about which I care deeply,
and the role of allies in those interests.
You’ll
hear me talk about some organizations:
NATO (the North Atlantic Treaty Organization), the European Union, and
the United Nations.
But
this isn’t about organizations.
It’s
about sovereign states, particularly like-minded states, and how they can work
together to maximize their mutual interests.
It
isn’t always easy; but I’m sure many of you know from personal
experience how important allies can be.
ALLIES: You can’t live with them. You can’t survive without them.
Yes,
the United States needs allies – and they need us.
We
needed allies in World War II to fight fascist and Japanese aggression.
Countries
we liberated, and countries we defeated, became good allies after the war.
We
relied on them, and they on us, during the Cold War to help deter Soviet
aggression and to block the spread of communism.
Today,
we can’t deal effectively with the many challenges to our interests
unless we enlist willing and capable democracies to join with us politically,
economically, and militarily.
The
United States is a global power, with global interests.
We
have allies and partners around the world.
However,
our allies in Europe, members and partners in NATO, form the vital core of
America’s global support group.
As
of late, we’ve been through a very rough patch in this relationship.
In
lectures at the NATO College, I use political cartoons in my Power Point
briefings to illustrate some of my points.
At
the height of the transatlantic crisis over Iraq one cartoonist showed two NATO
team soccer players, one called “Europe,” the other
“USA,” scrapping with each other on the soccer pitch.
The NATO coach, watching the players
fight, tells the referee: “They’d be a good team if they spent more
time kicking the ball and less time kicking each other.”
Before
the United States and Europe could develop effective strategies toward
terrorism, Islam, Iraq, Iran, Middle East peace, proliferation, relations with
Russia and China and other challenges, they clearly had to stop “kicking
each other.”
An
American military official, who has been working inside this relationship in
recent years, has reassured me that this process has begun.
According
to this official, “At NATO, we and our allies are making steady if uneven
progress on all fronts and we just had the most successful Defense Ministers'
meeting many can remember.”
Nonetheless,
many commentators on the recent crisis have identified what they see as a
“structural gap” increasingly separating the United States from Europe.
Such
persistent differences created the potential for US-European divisions even
before 9/11 and the Iraq War dramatically brought them to the surface.
In
the 1990s, the European allies enjoyed what was called the post-Cold War
“peace dividend.”
They
were painfully slow to convert their forces from border defenses to force
projection capabilities.
As
a result, many Americans, including key officials in the first Bush
administration, lost confidence in the ability of the European allies to
respond effectively to new security challenges.
In
the midst of this crisis, the neo-conservative expert Robert Kagan argued
famously that Americans and Europeans were on two different planets, writing
that “Americans are from Mars, Europeans from Venus.”
Kagan
maintained that success of the European integration process created a zone of
peace and cooperation among countries that had warred for centuries, and that
this had given birth to what he called a “non-use of force
ideology.”
Now,
we’ve known for years that Americans and Europeans have somewhat
different attitudes toward the use of force.
But
Kagan went on to argue that the United States and Europe were destined to
disagree more and more in the future.
Kagan’s observations inspired a variety of European
responses.
In
one reaction, a leading Dutch defense expert, Peter van Ham, said that Kagan is
“absolutely right” in judging that “Americans and Europeans
no longer share a common ‘strategic culture’.”
Van
Ham wrote: “...for non-Americans, this is gradually becoming a world
where the US acts as legislator, policeman, judge and executioner. America sets
the rules by its own behaviour, judges others without
sticking to these rules itself....”
It
is true that such differences have led to different US and European attitudes
on when and how to use military force.
I
wrote about these differences myself in a book published by the National
Defense University Press in the early 1980s.
Nations
tend to use the instruments of statecraft available to them.
Moreover,
their historical experiences influence the choice of instruments that they
develop and fund.
Their
experiences in the Second World War led many Europeans to conclude that
military conflict is to be avoided at all cost.
On
the other hand, many Americans think World War II demonstrated that appeasing
dictators only whets their appetite for conquest.
During
the Cold War, West European nations learned that putting aside old antagonisms
allowed them to build a prosperous, stable community that is today’s
European Union.
Meanwhile,
deterring and defeating the Soviet Union in the Cold War reinforced the
American conviction that the demonstrated willingness to use force is necessary
to deal with potentially aggressive regimes.
In
2001, the policies and attitudes of the Bush administration and the reactions
of many Europeans brought these tendencies vividly to life.
I’ll
talk later about why and how NATO survived this clash between US and European
strategic images.
But
first, I want to admit to one bias that you may already have detected.
In
addition to being a proud and stubborn Vermonter, I am an un-reconstructed and
un-apologetic Atlanticist.
What
does that mean?
It
means I believe that a healthy, mutually beneficial transatlantic relationship
is vitally important to the United States and Europe.
In
spite of our recent differences, the United States, Canada and the European
democracies still share political systems built on the values of democracy,
individual liberty and the rule of law.
The
belief in and practice of democracy remains an important part of the foundation
for the Euro-Atlantic community.
In
addition to shared political values, the United States and members of the
European Union have market-based economic systems in which competition drives
the market, but is governed by democratically-approved rules and regulations.
European
and American market economies are the essential core of the global economic
system.
The
27 members of the European Union are the largest US partners in the trade of
goods and services.
The
members of the European Union have over $860 billion of direct investment in
the United States.
The
United States has some $700 billion invested in European Union states.
The
European Union and the United States together account for more than 40 percent
of world trade and represent almost 60 percent of the industrialized
world’s gross domestic product.
Moreover,
the Western political, economic, and security system continues to attract new
participants.
Former
Soviet satellites in Central and Eastern Europe and several former Soviet
Republics have worked hard to adopt “western” political and
economic systems.
As
a consequence, NATO’s membership has swollen to 26, with three more
states on the doorstep and others perhaps joining in the future.
These
countries wanted to align with the United States and to protect themselves
against Russian influence, a motivation that has been reinforced by recent
developments in Russia’s foreign and domestic policies.
They
wanted to become members of the European Union, and of NATO, to ensure that
they remain part of democratic Europe with strong links to the United States.
In
spite of the recent crisis in transatlantic relations, Europe remains our prime
source of allies that are willing and able to deploy substantial military
forces in zones of conflict far from their borders.
Moreover,
NATO, which is the main vehicle for US-European military cooperation, has
become an important instrument for international, not just European, peace and
security.
Vaclav
Havel, the Czech Republic’s first president, has said that NATO has moved
from being a key player in European security to becoming a “key pillar of
international security.”
In
addition, the European Union and its member states can bring together a rich
package of assets for crisis management and avoidance, including diplomatic
mediation, peacekeeping forces,
police forces, humanitarian aid and development assistance.
In
general, international problems are most easily and effectively handled when
the United States and its European allies work together.
The
political foundations of Euro-Atlantic relations, the economic realities of
transatlantic ties, and the security aspects of the Atlantic alliance, all
suggest that the US-European relationship remains vitally important to both the
United States and Europe.
In
six months, next April, the NATO alliance will mark its 60th anniversary with a
summit of alliance leaders.
You’ll
note that I said “mark,” not “celebrate.”
Yes,
President Obama and the other NATO leaders will celebrate the anniversary of
this great alliance, but they’ll do so cautiously.
They’ll
celebrate against the backdrop of almost a decade of difficult relations among
the allies, both across the Atlantic and within Europe.
They’ll
celebrate in anticipation of some of the most serious challenges that have
faced the United States and its allies in NATO’s history.
The
recent period of transatlantic relations has been one of the most conflicted
since NATO was formed in 1949.
This,
however, is not a new experience in relations between a dominant state and its
allies, as a senior European diplomat occasionally reminds students at the NATO
College.
Some
2500 years ago, Thucydides, an Athenian general, writing about the
Peloponnesian War, made insightful observations about what moves people to
fight each other, why people seize power, and how others try to prevent
that.
He
also pointed out very dramatically how, in the course of a 30-year civil war,
peace was prevented by ambitions and greed of individuals.
Thucydides
is now regarded as one of the first true historians.
In
retrospect, his writing also suggested that there is not much new under the
sun.
Let
me share with you a passage from his analysis.
“In the beginning, the alliance…. held regular meetings and allies
decided by consensus. But after the Persian Wars, the alliance lost its cohesion.
Allies did not pay their dues, nor did they deliver ships to the common effort;
some refused military service. The Athenians in their hegemony were not so
popular anymore, and they did not consider their allies equal to themselves.
That was the fault of the allies themselves, because of their reluctance to serve.
So it happened that the Athenians expanded their fleet and the allies became
more and more ineffective and unprepared for war.”
My
European friend suggests that before you interpret this in today’s
context simply as a critique of the European allies, one should recall that
Thucydides, looking toward the future of Athens, wrote: “Nobody is so
strong that he can be sure that he will always remain the strongest.”
The
question that we as Americans need to answer is whether or not we’ll be
stronger facing the future with or without allies.
I
think the answer is obvious.
The
question for allied leaders next April will be how they can ensure that the
transatlantic alliance will continue to be a useful arrangement to protect and
promote the interests of both America and Europe.
Before
I turn to that question, I want to say a few words about why and how the
alliance survived the crisis in transatlantic relations during George
Bush’s presidency.
Perhaps
it’s too soon for a true historical evaluation, but, because I consider
myself a policy analyst, I feel free, and even obliged, to suggest some
possible explanations.
Here
are some possible reasons why, in the end, the United States and its European
allies decided that they should stop kicking each other.
First,
in spite of differences over Iraq and international relations generally, the
United States and its European allies still share an impressive collection of
values and interests.
Second,
European governments simply had no alternative to remaining in alliance with
the United States, and NATO was still the most important symbol and operational
aspect of that relationship.
Third,
European governments and populations remained split concerning the future
construction of Europe.
This
suggested that the arguments being made for the European Union to become a
“balancer” of US power could not be sustained by reality, at least
not in the near term.
But
the view that European integration can and should be compatible with
transatlantic cooperation gained the upper hand.
Fourth,
“new” European democracies in Eastern and Central Europe were
strongly committed to NATO’s continuation.
This
is so because their historical and geographic proximity to Russian power and
influence convinced them that NATO provided an essential link to US power that
was not provided by membership in the European Union.
Fifth,
European governments decided that, in spite of how difficult the relationship
with the United States had become, there were no acceptable alternative power
centers with which Europe
could align.
Sixth,
the financial and economic fortunes of the United States and Europe had become
so mutually interdependent that a break in transatlantic relations could put
all vital European and American
interests at risk.
This
consideration is clearly demonstrated by the current financial and economic
crisis.
And
finally, during its second term of office, the Bush administration decided the
United States needed allies and attempted to repair relations with the
Europeans.
This
created space in which the alliance could muddle through to the advent of the
next American administration.
Now,
let’s look ahead toward NATO’s 60th anniversary celebration next
April, to be hosted jointly by France and Germany on their common border.
On
the one hand, conditions for the celebration look good.
A new administration in the United States
guarantees a fresh start in transatlantic relations and the opportunity for a
US-European “honeymoon.”
Our
European friends and allies are looking forward to moving beyond the
contentious atmosphere of recent years.
French
President Nicolas Sarkozy has already begun working to improve US-French
relations.
He’s
prepared to normalize France’s position in the alliance, reversing
President de Gaulle’s decision over four decades ago to pull French
forces out of NATO’s integrated command structure.
NATO’s
Secretary General, Jaap de Hoop Scheffer, has argued that NATO should now
prepare a new strategic concept to replace the one agreed in Washington in
1999.
He
suggests the allies should perhaps even draft a new “Atlantic
Charter” re-affirming the importance of the transatlantic relationship.
However,
the challenges to transatlantic relations have only mounted in recent weeks.
It
really IS hard to drain the swamp when you are up to your rear end in
alligators!!
Today’s
alligators include the financial and economic crisis that affects US power and
leadership, and has implications for friends and foes alike around the globe.
We
have a stand-off in Afghanistan, where a ranking British general recently said
we cannot “win,” and where American experts say we risk the real
possibility of losing.
Meanwhile,
Russia’s actions in Georgia have raised profound questions about
Moscow’s future role in Europe and in the world.
The
financial crisis goes well beyond the scope of this lecture, and well beyond my
own expertise, but let me mention one clear link to our strategic posture.
The
steps required to deal with this financial and economic crisis will severely
constrain the ability of the United States to borrow more money to finance
current commitments in Iraq and elsewhere.
We have to make choices, and establish
priorities.
Even
if Senator McCain had been elected President, he would have been forced to find
a way out of Iraq in order to bring the US financial house back in order and to
avoid defeat in Afghanistan.
So,
before the alliance can even celebrate surviving its latest near-death
experience, it faces a new question: can it survive its difficult mission in
Afghanistan?
NATO
took on leadership of the UN-mandated International Security Assistance Force
in 2003.
At
the same time, the United States continued its own separate but parallel
Operation Enduring Freedom trying to track down al Qaeda and Taliban forces.
NATO’s
mission in Afghanistan was to ensure that this “failed state” has a
chance to become a relatively stable country in which a representative
government is able to defend itself and provide for the needs of its
people.
The
United States and its allies hoped to ensure that Afghanistan would no longer
serve as a launching pad for international terrorism, or as a major source for
the illicit international drug trade.
This
is not an easy task, by any stretch of the imagination, and it is one that
likely will require many years of sustained effort.
According
to press reports, the US intelligence community is drafting an estimate that
suggests Afghanistan is approaching a critical turning point.
The
government of Afghanistan, according to this and other reports, has little
credibility with the people, in part because of “rampant
corruption.”
The
Taliban are getting stronger and more capable of increased attacks on NATO and
US forces.
General
David McKiernan, the commander of NATO and US forces in Afghanistan, has
recently observed that things are bad, and getting
worse.
He,
along with other high-ranking military officers, has maintained that any gains
made in fighting Taliban and al Qaeda forces cannot be solidified with the
number of US and NATO troops deployed there.
Neither
the United States nor its allies have put sufficient forces or resources into
Afghanistan to achieve their stated goals.
Some
50% of Afghanistan’s economy comes from the poppy growing culture in
support of the international heroin trade.
Substantial
proceeds from this trade help finance the Taliban.
Moreover,
there appears to be no consensus in NATO or even in the US government about how
to save the situation.
Failure
in Afghanistan has been described as a possible death knell for NATO.
This
might be so, but more than NATO’s future is at risk in the mountains of
the Hindu Kush.
Many
things hang in the Afghan balance.
American
international leadership and military effectiveness are in question.
The
reputations of the United Nations and of the European Union are at stake.
The
ability of the international system to deal with failed states, terrorism, and
the illicit drug trade is at risk.
Failure
in Afghanistan, therefore, is not an option, even if today it looks like a
looming possibility.
Against
this discouraging backdrop, you might ask, what are my recommendations and
expectations for the future of transatlantic relations?
In
the near-term future, I believe US-European relations could go in a number of
different directions.
For
ease of discussion, let’s divide those possibilities into three broad
categories:
--the
alliance could fall victim to a new and contentious debate about how to share
international security burdens;
--the
allies could simply continue to muddle through;
--or,
they could choose to try to build a new and stronger foundation for their
alliance.
First,
a new burden-sharing debate could easily break out across the Atlantic.
I
worked on burden-sharing questions for the Congress for two decades, and so I
know full well what a burden-sharing debate looks like. It can get ugly.
But
it’s a natural consequence of cooperation among democracies.
Leaders
in democracies feel a responsibility to buy the best security for their
countries at the lowest cost.
This
leads almost automatically to a burden-sharing debate among allied democratic
nations.
President
Barack Obama will strengthen the US presence in Afghanistan, but he will also
want the Europeans to do much more.
Given
the fact that most European allies believe they are at the limits of their
resources with current commitments, this situation could easily deteriorate
into a transatlantic blame game.
“Who
lost Afghanistan?” could be the question in a few years.
And
the question “who destroyed NATO?” could be close on its heels.
The
second possible future is one of muddling through.
You
know, in my experience, professional diplomats always prefer “muddling
through.”
They
tend to be suspicious of, and skeptical about, new ways of doing things.
But
that’s just my opinion, with apologies to any diplomats in the audience.
In
any case, this option would look a lot like the past four years, with a new
cast of characters on both sides of the Atlantic disagreeing about strategy but
keeping the relationship civil, and keeping operations in Afghanistan from
failing completely.
The
third possible future is the most difficult to envision and produce, but also,
in my opinion, the most important to seek.
Over
the last few years I have written and spoken about the need to build a new
foundation for transatlantic relations.
The
approach is premised on the need for a combination of policy convergence,
improved performance, and updated transatlantic institutions.
The
United States and its European allies must develop as much policy convergence
as possible on the difficult issues that have tended to divide them, but on
which they need close cooperation to ensure future security.
It
may be too much of a stretch to aim for a “common strategy,” but it
is not unrealistic to imagine the Obama administration trying to develop common
transatlantic approaches to such issues as how to:
--
Mitigate the causes of international terrorism,
--
Discourage proliferation of weapons of mass destruction,
--
Develop a sensible approach to missile defense deployments,
--
Draft common principles to guide future relations with Russia,
--
Deal with the consequences of the war in Iraq,
--
Promote a dialogue and strategic understanding with Iran, and
--
Intensify cooperation to promote a Middle East peace accord.
We
and our allies need to produce in practice the resources and actions that are
required to deal with the most demanding of security challenges.
First
and foremost, we need to put together an effective combination of security and
development programs in Afghanistan to build a foundation for a more peaceful
and less threatening future in that troubled land.
To
deal with this and other challenges, the United States and its allies also need
to build a strategic working relationship between the European Union and NATO,
instead of allowing ompetition
between the two organizations to continue to handicap practical cooperation.
Finally,
the members of NATO and the European Union should enhance the posture of the
Atlantic Community by creating new multilateral mechanisms that respond to the
increasingly diverse nature of international security.
In
the United States, the idea of bringing new forms of cooperation to bear on
international security problems has emerged from a number of sources.
These
sources are as diverse as Senator John McCain’s concept of a
“League of Democracies” and the Princeton University’s
Project on National Security’s proposal for a “Concert of Democracies,” which reflects
the thinking of many in President-elect Obama’s camp.
Since
the mid-1990s, I have suggested that the Atlantic Community states could and
should be the core of any such convergence among democratic states.
Why
should we try to create new ways of cooperating?
The
basic rationale is that the future of transatlantic relations depends on much
that goes beyond NATO’s mandate.
NATO
remains necessary, but not sufficient.
From
a practical perspective, the transatlantic community needs additional tools to
promote cooperation on the non-military, or “soft power,” aspects
of security.
If
we had already created such a framework when terrorists struck the United
States on 9/11, representatives of NATO and European Union countries could have
met immediately to coordinate the policies, financial tools, diplomatic
responses and other non-military security tools, while NATO was helping
organize a military response.
However,
the most immediate challenge to allies on both sides of the Atlantic is to
rebuild a constructive dialogue to replace the destructive interactions that
have characterized handling of the Iraq issue.
Joe
Maddon, the manager of the American League champion
Tampa Bay Rays, likes to remind his players that “attitude is a
decision.”
Even
though his Rays eliminated my Red Sox, I still think it’s a good saying.
Attitudes
are choices in politics and international relations as well in sports.
I
earlier suggested that, in the first years of the Bush administration, the
attitude in Washington was that the United States didn’t really need
allies, that NATO was no longer useful, and that in future conflicts, including
Afghanistan, “the mission would determine the coalition.”
Some
Europeans responded with their own “bad attitude.”
They
argued that excessive US power and influence combined with a unilateralist and
anti-alliance attitude in Washington would force the European Union to play a
new form of balance of power politics to offset US hegemony.
The
lesson the United States must take away from this period is that we will have
to “speak more softly.”
Everyone
knows that that we already carry the “biggest stick.”
Future
US administrations will have to be more constructive and creative in the use of
international institutions and multilateral cooperation.
For
their part, Europeans will have to bring more resources and capabilities to the
transatlantic security table.
The
US–European relationship needs a better balance in terms of both
authority and capability.
However,
it’s not up to the United States to “give” Europe more
authority.
European
nations and the European Union will realize greater influence in Washington,
and internationally, based on their willingness and ability to contribute to
solutions of international security problems.
And,
as Secretary of Defense Bob Gates has recently suggested, we need, and should
value, non-military contributions to these security challenges as much as we
need military assistance.
Given
the current disparities between US and European military capabilities, some
have suggested dividing responsibilities in the alliance.
In
my opinion, any formal division of responsibilities that would reserve hard
power tasks for the United States, and non-military “soft power”
jobs for Europeans, would be a disaster for US–European relations.
It
does make sense for individual nations, or groups of nations, to take on
specific tasks within the overall framework of transatlantic cooperation.
In
fact, the special capabilities that European allies have for managing
stabilization and reconstruction activities could be usefully combined with the
potent US ability for war-fighting to develop a full spectrum of pre-conflict,
conflict, and post-conflict coalition activities.
This
would not be easy, but French President Sarkozy’s
decision to take a more positive attitude toward transatlantic cooperation
makes this goal more attainable.
Such
closer cooperation would substantially strengthen the ability of the United
States and Europe to deal with future security challenges.
On
the other hand, a formal transatlantic division of responsibilities would
create even bigger gaps between the United States and Europe concerning how
best to respond to international threats and risks.
Such
a dividing approach would only encourage US tendencies toward the unilateral
use of military force, as well as European tendencies to believe that all
problems can be solved without military force backing up diplomacy.
In
a world of divided Euro-Atlantic responsibilities, the response to every future
security challenge would have to overcome growing differences in perceptions of
the problem.
The
bottom line is that there should be a practical division of tasks among the
transatlantic partners, but not a formal division of responsibilities across
the Atlantic.
Now,
I want to thank you for being an attentive and patient audience.
I
would enjoy hearing your questions and comments.
I
don’t learn anything from listening to myself.
But
I always learn from my audiences.
I
understand, however, that we won’t have time for a question and answer
period, and so I’ll ask, and attempt to answer, at least one question
that you might have asked.
The
question is: “So, Stan,
you’ve said a lot about how we got where we are, now tell us where you
think we are going.”
Well,
not long ago I participated in a conference in Norway sponsored by the Nobel
Institute – the people who give out the Nobel Peace Prize.
My
assignment was to draft a concluding US perspective for the book that would be
produced by the conference papers.
I
carefully avoided predicting the future, taking the advice of Yogi Berra and
many other wise individuals who have said, in one way or another, that
“making predictions is difficult, particularly when they are about the
future.”
However,
the Institute’s director, who is also an expert on transatlantic
relations, wasn’t going to let me get away with that.
He
asked that I produce my best guesses about the directions the transatlantic
relationship would take for the next period of history.
What
I wrote for the conference book will serve as my answer to the question I just
asked myself, and as a conclusion for my remarks this evening.
First,
I said that, for the foreseeable future, the United States would likely remain
the most important global power.
However,
other countries and groupings of countries will nonetheless gain in relative
power and influence, including the European Union.
The
European Union, for its part, will not be transformed into a United States of
Europe, but it also will not fall apart at the seams.
It
will continue to evolve toward a “United Europe of States,” but it
will be challenged by the question of how to include additional states, such as
Turkey, in the integration process, without bringing that process to a grinding
halt.
Here
in the United States, we’ll continue to struggle with temptations to act
on our own, and some Europeans will be tempted to counter such American
instincts with their own unilateral behavior.
However,
learning from the lessons of recent years, both will try to keep their
differences under control.
Neither
the United States nor the European nations will be able to identify more
effective, compatible, or reliable partners among other global players.
In
fact, additional global economic, political and strategic players, including
Russian and China, will increase pressure on the United States and Europe to
develop compatible strategic perspectives.
The
requirement for enhanced US-European cooperation will highlight the
deficiencies of existing transatlantic institutions.
NATO
will remain the institution that manages US-European military cooperation, and
it will remain a symbol of US-European shared strategic interests.
However,
policy-makers on both sides of the Atlantic will search for ways to broaden and
intensify cooperation.
The
transatlantic relationship will occupy a special and critically important place
in the foreign and security policies of the United States and the European
democracies.
The
United States will continue to need its European friends and allies to help
deal with a wide range of global issues, and we will benefit from the material
support that they can supply as
well as the political legitimacy that the United States needs.
The
European states, individually and collectively, will find their interests best
served by continued cooperation with the United States.
This
is so, in part, because they’ll continue to share important core values
and interests with the United States.
In
addition, cooperation with the United States will enhance Europe’s
international influence and provide channels through which Europeans can exert
influence on a country whose actions
so directly affect their interests.
At
the end of the day, the quality of the transatlantic relationship will depend
on the choices made by leaders on both sides of the Atlantic.
Recent
years have demonstrated how bad choices can drive the relationship into crisis.
Attitudes
are decisions. Attitudes are choices.
Lessons
should be learned from this period and applied constructively in the coming
period of history.
This
is the task ahead for the nations of the Euro-Atlantic community.
Whether
you voted for John McCain or Barack Obama, now is the time for all of us to
pull together to deal with the immense challenges we face.
As
for allies, they may be difficult to live with, but the interests of the United
States suggest that we can’t live without them.
Thank
you so much for your attention.
I look forward to enjoying the rest of the evening with you.